Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Cardiff
29.6%
Draw
43.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Cardiff
vs
1.35
Swansea
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).