Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Benevento
29.3%
Draw
23.4%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Benevento
vs
0.94
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).