Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Paris FC
19.7%
Draw
13.8%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Paris FC
vs
0.69
Nancy
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).