Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Troyes
23.9%
Draw
15.0%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Troyes
vs
0.58
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
11.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).