Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Stockport
27.5%
Draw
21.9%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Stockport
vs
0.70
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).