Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Karpaty
29.6%
Draw
29.6%
Oleksandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Karpaty
vs
0.99
Oleksandria
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).