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24 Aug 2019 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.9%
Macclesfield
18.9%
Draw
10.2%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Macclesfield

vs
0.57

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).