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HHT: 20CSV

18 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.0%
Salford
22.2%
Draw
23.8%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Salford

vs
1.12

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).