Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Kalmar
25.5%
Draw
34.8%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Kalmar
vs
1.56
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).