Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.3%
Benevento
29.1%
Draw
21.6%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Benevento
vs
0.88
Bari
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).