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20 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.6%
Tenerife
28.5%
Draw
48.9%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Tenerife

vs
1.30

Levante

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.3%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).