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02 Nov 2025 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.6%
Górnik Zabrze
26.5%
Draw
21.9%
Arka Gdynia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Górnik Zabrze

vs
1.00

Arka Gdynia

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).