Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
AVS
23.4%
Draw
56.3%
Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
AVS
vs
1.66
Nacional
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).