Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Holstein Kiel
24.5%
Draw
15.6%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Holstein Kiel
vs
0.83
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).