Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Albacete
27.6%
Draw
37.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Albacete
vs
1.21
Malaga
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).