Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Burgos
36.4%
Draw
35.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Burgos
vs
0.82
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS27.5%
Over 0.577.8%
Over 1.544.0%
Over 2.519.1%
Over 3.56.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.2%
0-1
18.4%
1-0
15.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
7.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
2.0%
2-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).