Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Catanzaro
28.3%
Draw
41.2%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Catanzaro
vs
1.45
Monza
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).