Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Stockport
20.4%
Draw
21.2%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Stockport
vs
1.14
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).