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26 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.0%
West Brom
28.4%
Draw
48.6%
Middlesbrough

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

West Brom

vs
1.48

Middlesbrough

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).