Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
St Etienne
17.4%
Draw
62.2%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
St Etienne
vs
2.63
Rennes
Markets
BTTS71.6%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.558.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-1
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-3
5.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
2-4
3.6%
0-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).