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DHT: 00

28 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.2%
Chippenham Town
22.4%
Draw
37.5%
Weston-super-Mare

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Chippenham Town

vs
1.62

Weston-super-Mare

Markets

BTTS65.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).