Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Darmstadt
25.7%
Draw
53.2%
Hertha
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Darmstadt
vs
1.68
Hertha
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).