Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Dijon
19.3%
Draw
67.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Dijon
vs
1.98
Lille
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).