Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Sheffield United
26.2%
Draw
33.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Sheffield United
vs
1.42
Southampton
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).