Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Setubal
22.4%
Draw
40.1%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Setubal
vs
1.64
Estoril
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).