⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

12 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
57.9%
Grimsby
29.0%
Draw
13.1%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Grimsby

vs
0.54

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS32.4%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.2%
0-0
15.1%
2-0
14.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
0-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).