Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Malaga
30.4%
Draw
31.0%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Malaga
vs
0.93
Alaves
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
12.6%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).