Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Estoril
14.1%
Draw
13.5%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Estoril
vs
1.28
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
6.2%
2-0
6.2%
4-1
6.0%
3-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-1
5.0%
4-0
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
4-2
3.8%
5-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).