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AHT: 02CSV

07 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Salford
27.9%
Draw
41.1%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Salford

vs
1.20

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).