Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Mechelen
26.5%
Draw
37.4%
St Truiden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Mechelen
vs
1.43
St Truiden
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).