Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Ponferradina
28.4%
Draw
35.9%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ponferradina
vs
1.13
Albacete
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).