Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Dover Athletic
25.6%
Draw
31.5%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Dover Athletic
vs
1.40
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).