Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
Barnsley
17.0%
Draw
15.6%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Barnsley
vs
1.00
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).