Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Le Mans
26.3%
Draw
26.5%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Le Mans
vs
0.89
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).