Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Troyes
21.6%
Draw
35.6%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Troyes
vs
1.67
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
3-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).