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20 Apr 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Gent
19.9%
Draw
57.2%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Gent

vs
2.37

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS70.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.573.7%
Over 3.553.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.9%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
2-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).