Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Elche
15.9%
Draw
71.3%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Elche
vs
2.72
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.573.5%
Over 3.553.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
1-4
5.5%
0-4
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
2-3
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
2-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).