Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.7%
Oviedo
23.2%
Draw
61.1%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Oviedo
vs
1.78
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).