Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Ath Madrid
22.3%
Draw
16.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Ath Madrid
vs
0.88
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).