Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Aldershot
18.2%
Draw
16.2%
Oxford City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Aldershot
vs
1.29
Oxford City
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.555.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).