Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Northampton
28.9%
Draw
31.2%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Northampton
vs
0.90
Wigan
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.557.1%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-1
13.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).