Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
St Etienne
20.4%
Draw
18.5%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
St Etienne
vs
0.91
Clermont
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).