Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Oxford City
26.2%
Draw
49.4%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Oxford City
vs
1.67
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.4%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).