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14 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.2%
Dumbarton
21.2%
Draw
26.6%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.24

Dumbarton

vs
1.59

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS71.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).