Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Burnley
21.5%
Draw
63.1%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Burnley
vs
2.25
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
1-4
4.1%
0-4
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).