Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Newmarket Town
25.0%
Draw
37.7%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Newmarket Town
vs
1.36
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).