Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
27.2%
Draw
32.4%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.07
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).