Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Montpellier
29.0%
Draw
19.8%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Montpellier
vs
0.61
Bastia
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.552.6%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.7%
0-0
15.6%
2-0
11.7%
0-1
11.0%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).