Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.5%
Barnet
16.6%
Draw
7.9%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Barnet
vs
0.69
Sutton
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).