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AHT: 00

05 Nov 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.7%
Queens Park Rangers
23.9%
Draw
49.4%
Southampton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.91

Southampton

Markets

BTTS64.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
4.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).